68 Madisonville, Beaver Dam
67 Evansville, Sebree, Dawson Springs, Central City, Hawesville
66 Henderson, Morganfield
65 Owensboro, Bristow, Flora, Oakland City
64 Carmi, Fairfield, Harrisburg, Vincennes
63 Olney, Washington, Jasper
Skies vary from overcast to partly cloudy skies with gusty winds. They are sustained generally at 15-20 mph with gusts to 35 mph. Where the sun is out, sporadic gusts to 40 mph are possible. Temperatures will peak at 64-70 (68 Evansville) today. Scattered showers will develop late & especially evening-tonight. A few isolated t’storms cannot be ruled out. Lows tonight will drop to 41-49 (46 Evansville) from north to south as a cold front moves through.
Any showers will exit the Tri-State Monday with highs of 47-57 from north to south (53 Evansville) with partly cloudy skies along/north of the river to largely mostly cloudy skies south of it.
Showers & t’storms will develop Tuesday with potential squall line of storms late in the day. Winds may gust to 36 mph from the south with highs of 63-70. Sporadic damaging wind gusts & perhaps an isolated, brief tornado will be possible. Slight Risk for severe Tri-State-wide gives way to an Enhanced Slight Risk just southwest of Hopkins County at the moment. A couple strong, long-track tornadoes are possible northern Mississippi to Tennessee.
Rainfall will end Tuesday night, followed by dry slot clearing, gusty west/southwest winds & lows in the 40s. Rainfall of 0.75-1.25″ is possible.
With gusty west/northwest winds Wednesday, temperatures will fall into the 30s with potential of scattered snow showers in the afternoon-evening. Dusting is possible.
Remainder of the week looks dry with sun/some clouds & highs in the 30s to 40s & lows in the teens to 20s.
SATURDAY NIGHT-NEXT SUNDAY (FEBRUARY 7):
Snow showers are possible next Saturday night to Sunday. Some minor accumulation is possible with best potential north of I-64.
MONDAY (FEBRUARY 8)-WEDNESDAY (FEBRUARY 10):
Stratospheric warming episode underway is sign of blast of much colder air on the horizon. Highs may only run 13-21 around February 8 with north winds at 15-25 mph with wind chills as low as -5.
Lows of 2-7 are possible on the morning of February 9, followed by highs of 17-25 on February 10.
In areas that get snow north of I-64, lows of -2 to 1 are possible.
Looks like we may have winter weather issues for about 24 hours February 12-13 with some accumulating icy mix &/or even snow. However, should go to rain before ending by February 14. I would not rule out some brief snow system in that 15th time frame.
Above-normal temperature trend appears likely February 16 to February 24 with potential of rain.
FEBRUARY 25-MARCH 6:
Analog trends/model data supports that temperatures will run 5 to 10 degrees below normal OVERALL. With potentially an active southern subtropical jet, need to watch for perhaps one winter weather system.