Big thaw is ahead, though re-freezing will occur tonight & tomorrow night.
Both tomorrow & Friday look bright & breezy.
It will cloud up later Saturday with windy conditions. 50s will arrive, followed by a mild Saturday night with some patchy drizzle/few showers.
Sunday may reach 61 by after dusk with a few spotty showers with mostly cloudy to cloudy skies & gusty winds.
Band of rainfall with an embedded t’storm or two (with severe weather possible Ozarks to Texas) will pass Sunday overnight-Monday morning. 0.50-1.25″ rainfall is possible atop saturated, thawed ground, which will lead to ponding & some localized flooding. Rivers will be on the rise, as well.
Next week looks mild to warm with 40s to 50s Monday-Wednesday with 50s/60s Thursday & widespread 60s to possibly near 70 around Friday-Saturday. That is when a strong storm system will pass with potential of severe weather even in parts of the Tri-State, along with heavy rainfall.
It looks wet & mild the rest of January.
Temperatures will drop below normal February 1-9 (though apparently not excessively so) with below normal precipitation.
After a spurt of above normal temperatures around February 10-13 with above normal precipitation, it looks like a shot of bitterly cold air possible (lows to 0 possible) in the February 14-21 time frame with normal precipitation.
Conditions support winter storm situation in the February 14-21 time frame.
The month will likely end up warmer & wetter than normal with a 70-72 possible.